Sunak offered ‘rays of sunshine’ as poll shows Tory fightback is back on track

PMQs: Sunak and Starmer clash over migration

The Conservatives have pulled back Labour’s lead for a second week in a row reducing it to 14 points, according to the latest tracker poll from Techne UK.

The survey of 1,625 voters put Labour down 1 percent on 44 points, the Conservatives up 1 on 30 percent, the Lib Dems up 1 on 11 percent, Greens up 1 on 5 percent and Reform UK down 1 on 4 percent.

The 4 percent for Richard Tice’s Reform UK Party was the lowest since Techne UK started measuring them in late 2022.

The poll means that Mr Sunak has managed to survive a difficult week politically which threatened to break out into an all out Tory civil war.

A leak about a speeding ticket for Home Secretary Suella Braverman and a decision to report Boris Johnson for a second time to the police over Partygate claims led to accusations that Downing Street and a “politically biased” civil service were trying to take out the right of the party.

However, Mr Sunak had a strong performance in PMQs against Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer and managed to patch up party unity by standing by his under-fire Home Secretary.

But he was warned the polling was carried out before the migration figures came out revealing net migration stands at a record 606,000.

Techne UK chief executive Michela Morizzo said: “Our tracker poll this week of Westminster voting intentions shows a swing of 2 points from Labour to the Conservatives.

“The Labour lead drops to 14 percent – whilst still a sizeable lead – the contraction in favour of the Conservatives continues.

“Politics continues to be in an effervescent phase: confidence in the government is also growing and the clouds that had long stationed over Downing Street now seem to let in some rays of sunshine.

“But the road is still long and uphill. With significant annual migration figures of net 606,000 being announced it will be interesting to see what effect the ongoing sizeable migration will have on voting intentions next week.”

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According to the prediction website Electoral Calculus if this result happened in a general election Labour would have a majority of 154 and the Conservatives would be reduced to 173 seats.

However, the website last week predicted a Labour majority of 202.

Currently, the Tories are still struggling to get younger voters with just 21 percent of 18-to-35-year-olds compared to Labour’s 53 percent.

But theTories are narrowly ahead among pensioners by 39 percent to 38 percent of 65 and overs.

Meanwhile seven in 10 (71 percent) of their 2019 voters will back them again while only 16 percent have switched to Labour.

More than half (52 percent) of 2016 Leave voters still back the Tories but only 17 percent of Remain voters would support them.

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