Labour polls as Keir Starmer reshuffles shadow cabinet

Ashworth grilled on lack of masks at Labour Party Conference

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The Labour Party sat back and smiled in recent weeks as the sleaze scandal chipped away at support for the Conservative Party. As Sir Keir Starmer is launching his second shadow cabinet reshuffle in a year today, with the party likely to rejig the top team to take advantage of the Government’s recent failures over social care, living costs and the MP second jobs row. But what exactly do the latest polls about voting intention reveal about Labour’s election hopes?

Labour leader Sir Keir began a reshuffle of his shadow cabinet ministers on Monday.

The reorganisation began as the party’s deputy leader Angela Rayner was giving a speech about ministers’ conduct.

She said she was unaware of any reshuffle plans taking place earlier on Monday.

Ms Rayner said: “I don’t know the details of any reshuffle, I’ve been concentrating on the job that I’m doing at hand and I think that’s really importance.

“The Labour Party, the challenge for us is to show we’re a government-in-waiting and I think that’s what the public expects of us.

“So I’m focused on not just exposing what the Government is doing wrong, I think what people often say to me is ‘what would Labour do? You’re criticising the Government all the time, what would you do?’

“We’ve got to not only show that the Labour Party has changed, but also set out what our programme for government is.

“We are a government-in-waiting and we have to be the next government because we can’t carry on like this.”

A Labour spokesman confirmed Cat Smith’s resignation from the frontbench – affirming she was leaving her post as Labour’s Shadow Minister for Young People and Democracy and had rejected Sir Keir’s offer to remain in her post.

But what do the latest polls say about the Labour Party’s chances?

The latest voting intention poll from Opinium for the Observer found Labour maintained a narrow lead with 38 percent of the vote share, in the poll conducted from November 24 to 26.

This was up one percentage poll from the previous poll and two percentage points ahead of the Tories on 36 percent.

The Labour leader also saw a boost in his approval rating at plus one percent, with 31 percent approving of him and 31 percent disapproving of him, according to the 1,990 respondents polled.

This was far ahead of his Conservative rival Boris Johnson whose approval was at -17 percent, with 31 percent approving of him and 48 percent disapproving of him.

Almost half of those polled (48 percent) said they thought Mr Johnson should resign as leader.

However, when this question was put to Conservative voters alone, this figure fell to 13 percent.

If he were to step down as party leader, Chancellor Rishi Sunak was hailed as the best replacement, with 52 percent of Tory voters backing him as Mr Johnson’s best successor.

A total of 31 percent of respondents said they believe the PM should remain in his role.

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The latest YouGov voting intention showed the Conservative Party were in the lead, with 36 percent of the vote share.

This figure has not changed since the latest poll, but Labour gained one percentage point from the previous poll.

The poll, conducted on behalf of The Times, showed Labour attained 35 percent of the vote share, according to the 1,692 respondents.

This left a remaining seven percent support for the Liberal Democrats, eight percent for the Green Party, six percent for Reform UK, five percent for the Scottish National Party (SNP), two percent for other and one percent for Plaid Cymru.

In terms of prime minister rankings, Sir Keir was slightly ahead of the incumbent British leader, according to YouGov.

When asked who would make the best PM, Sir Keir was ahead by a single percentage point, with 28 percent backing him.

Mr Johnson trailed closely behind on 27 percent.

However, the bulk of respondents (41 percent) said they were unsure of who would be the best prime minister.

After weeks of turbulence, the latest poll aggregator result on Politico shows the Tories and Labour are neck and neck when it comes to national parliament voting intention.

Each party has 37 percent support, according to Politico, with support for Labour slowly climbing in recent days while Conservative support has fallen gradually.

The remaining political parties were shown to have significantly less support, according to Politico.

The Liberal Democrats had backing from eight percent of those polled, compared to six percent for the Greens, five percent for SNP and four percent for Reform UK.

UKIP was ranked as the next most supported party with two percent support, followed by Plaid Cymru at one percent.

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